Economic Bears Reflect on the State of Housing
Sep 8Take a moment to discuss housing and youâll probably uncover a recurring theme: uncertainty. Some think a double dip awaits. Others, like Karl Case of the Case-Shiller Index, are sure weâve come through the worst.
Hoping to shed light on the situation, New York Times economics columnist David Leonhardt poses two questions for consideration.
Do you believe that housing is a luxury good and that societies spend more on it as they get richer? Or do you think itâs more like food, clothing and other staples that account for an ever-smaller share of consumer spending over time?
Leonhardt goes with option #1 â the âless bearishâ choice. He and his cohorts are pretty convinced that âhouse prices rise nearly as fast, if not quite as fast, as incomes, and that real estate is no longer in a bubble.â Full-blown bears, however, take another stance: âhousing was in a multi-decade bubble and has now entered a multi-decade slump.â

The article goes back and forth, expounding on both sides of the debate. After backing up his opinion with historical data and substantial statistics, Leonhardt concludes with a simple suggestion:
The best advice for homeowners and would-be buyers may be to think of a house not as an investment, first and foremost, but as a place to live.,, If you can imagine staying [in your home] much longer than a few years, you should take some comfort in the fact that the bubble seems mostly deflated. Sometime soon, prices should begin rising again. They may not quite keep up with incomes, but they will probably outpace the price of food and clothing.
Read the full story at nytimes.com. Also follow @UpdateDallas on Twitter for the latest real estate news.

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